Fantasy Picks: Who to pick and Who not to pick for the Texas Motor Speedway 2015 Duck Commander 500

The seventh race of the 2015 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season will take place Saturday in the Lone Star State as the Texas Motor Speedway will host the 19th annual Duck Commander 500.

The 1.5-mile quad oval has produced some very thrilling Texas racing since its inception in 1997. Jimmie Johnson was the last driver to put on the cowboy hat and shoot the six shooters as he went to victory lane here last fall. Joey Logano enters the race weekend as the defending winner of the Duck Commander 500.

Who To Pick

Joey Logano – Not only is Logano the defending winner of this weekend’s event, but he has produced three top-fives and four top-ten finishes in the last four Texas Motor Speedway races, not to mention, he led 110 laps in that span, and he is tied with Kyle Busch with the best finishing average over the last four Texas Sprint Cup Series races.

Ever since Logano joined forces with Penske Racing he has sure turned it on at the Texas Motor Speedway.

Matt Kenseth – Texas Motor Speedway has been very kind to Kenseth over the years as in twenty-five starts the Wisconsin native has two wins, thirteen top-fives, seventeen top-tens and has only finished worse than twentieth in two Texas Sprint Cup Series races.

Kenseth enters the weekend with the best overall finishing average at the 1.5-mile quad oval, and he brought home a seventh-place finish in last year’s running of the Duck Commander 500.

Greg Biffle – The Biff enters the weekend with only one top-ten finish to show for through the first six races, but the Texas Motor Speedway may be the track to point the struggling Roush-Fenway Racing organization in the right direction because Biffle has two wins, eight top-fives and thirteen top-tens to go along with 733 laps led at the Texas Motor Speedway in his career.

Biffle has also been strong in the recent Texas races, posting one top-five, two top-tens and four top-twenties in the last four Texas races. May be the week to roll the dice on Biffle.

Denny Hamlin – Hamlin had been just in the middle of the pack through the first five races until we entered Martinsville two weeks ago, where he captured his first win of the season, and don’t overlook him in this year’s Duck Commander 500 because Hamlin has claimed two victories, posted ten top-tens, and has only finished outside the top-twenty once in eighteen Texas races.

Who Not To Pick 

Jeff Gordon – Not one of Gordon’s best tracks as in twenty-eight career Texas races he has just nine top-fives and twelve top-ten finishes to show for. Gordon has finished worse than twentieth in twelve of his twenty-eight races at the Texas Motor Speedway, and he has finished outside the top-twenty in three of the last four Texas Sprint Cup Series races.

Danica Patrick – Patrick posted her fifth career top-ten finish in the Sprint Cup Series a week and half ago in Martinsville, but it would be hard pressed for her to do it again at a Texas Motor Speedway race track where her highest ever finish is 24th.

Trevor Bayne – Bayne should take some pointers from his teammate Greg Biffle when it comes to the Texas Motor Speedway because in nine tries he has failed to bring home any top-ten finishes.

Bayne is just a risky pick so far this season because he hasn’t finished higher then eighteenth in any of the first six races of the 2015 season, and he has finished worse then 28th in four of those races.

Ryan Newman –  I would stay far away from Newman and the No. 31 Richard Childress Racing team this weekend because we just don’t know how this team is going to react to the penalties that have been handed down upon them. Will they still be upfront and running with the class of the field? Or will their season spiral downhill?

And Newman has only posted five top-ten finishes in twenty-three Texas Sprint Cup Series starts.



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