The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads to the Blue Hen State this weekend to complete race number thirteen of the 2013 season at the concrete one-mile oval known as the Dover International Speedway, or The Monster Mile.
Who To Pick
Over the last five Dover races Jimmie Johnson has been the absolute best at the 1.0-mile oval as he has two wins, including this race a year ago, and he has accumulated four top-fives and has finished no worse than ninth in the last five races at Dover.
Johnson has won at the Dover International Speedway seven times in his career, and he has finished in the top-ten in sixteen of his 22 career races at the Delaware race track.
Clint Bowyer is having a strong 2013 season thus far, and it should continue at Dover as Bowyer has finished in the top-ten in the last four Dover races.
Bowyer has one top-five, seven top-tens and has only finished outside the top-twenty on two occasions in his fourteen prior races at the Dover International Speedway.
Next to Matt Kenseth, Kevin Harvick has been on a roll lately and the Dover International Speedway has been a strong track for Harvick in the recent past.
Harvick has finished in the top-ten in three of the last four Dover races, and he finished no worse than 13th in that span.
Harvick has never won at Dover, but he has three top-fives, ten top-tens and eighteen top-twenties in twenty-four Dover races.
Harvick finished second at this weekend’s race a year ago.
Marcos Ambrose hasn’t been known for his oval skills since he started driving NASCAR’s, but he has been productive at the Dover International Speedway in his career.
Ambrose has one top-five, three top-tens and has finished no worse than fourteenth over the course of the last four Dover races.
Overall, Ambrose has three top-tens at Dover, and he has brought home a top-twenty finish in seven of his nine races there.
The 1.0-mile Dover International Speedway has been kind to the driver of the No. 99 for Roush Fenway Racing as Edwards enters this weekend with the best average finish at the race track.
Edwards has one win, eight top-fives, twelve top-tens and sixteen top-twenty finishes in seventeen career races at the Dover International Speedway to go along with 532 laps led at the race track.
Who Not To Pick
Stewart-Haas Racing had two of their three Chevrolet’s finish in the top-ten last weekend in Charlotte so the organization might be headed in the right direction but Dover hasn’t been kind to Tony Stewart lately.
Stewart has led zero laps and he has only one top-twenty finish to his name in the last four Dover races. However, Stewart has two wins and ten top-ten finishes in twenty-eight career Dover races.
Stewart has finishes of 20th, 25th, 25th, 29th and 21st in the last five Dover races.
Just like his Stewart-Haas Racing teammate and owner Tony Stewart, Ryan Newman has failed to finish in the top-ten in the last four Dover races.
Newman has raced at Dover 22 times in his Sprint Cup Series career and in that time, he has accumulated three wins, six top-fives, eleven top-tens and sixteen top-twenties.
Newman has finishes of 21st, 15th, 23rd, 21st, 8th and 13th in the last six Dover races.
I would not pick Paul Menard this weekend because he has finished outside the top-ten in six of the last seven races this season, and he has failed to finish in the top-ten in the last five races at the Dover International Speedway.
Menard has just one top-ten finish in eleven Dover races, and he has finished outside the top-twenty in seven races there.
It hasn’t been a positive start to the 2013 season for the No. 31 RCR team and Jeff Burton as he has finished outside the top-ten in ten of the twelve races this season, and that is why I would be hesitant to pick him this weekend.
Burton has led only eight laps in the last four races at Dover, and he has failed to earn a top-ten finish in the that span.
Burton has finishes of 27th, 22nd, 11th, 11th, 2nd and 2nd in the last six Dover races.
Juan Pablo Montoya
Montoya has failed to finish in the top-twenty in the last four Dover races, and he has failed to finish in the top-ten in the last six races at the Dover, Delaware race track.
Overall, Montoya has one top-five, two top-tens and four top-twenties in twelve career Dover races.